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Yearbook International 2021 Urban and Railway Transport Studies Mastère Spécialisé® de l’École des Ponts ParisTech Systèmes de Transports Ferroviaires et Urbains
Encadrante à l'École des Ponts ParisTech Françoise MANDERSCHEID Experts Antoine CHÈVRE (AFD), en collaboration avec l’AFD Hubert NOVE-JOSSERAND (ex-Banque mondiale et Systra) Écoles partenaires Remerciements Le MS® STFU remercie chaleureusement Alstom, Bombardier, SNCF, RATP, Siemens et Hitachi, les partenaires fondateurs de la formation. Avertissement Ces mémoires constituent un travail à visée pédagogique dans le cadre d’un diplôme universitaire et ne constituent en aucun cas une étude susceptible d’être réutilisée dans un cadre commercial ou scientifique. Son contenu n’engage que la responsabilité de ses auteurs. Warning These studies are academic works, made in an academic context. They cannot be used for commercial or scientific purposes. Their content is the sole responsibility of their authors.
Urban and Railway Transport Studies' International Yearbook 2021 Mastère spécialisé® de l'École des Ponts ParisTech Systèmes de transports ferroviaires et urbains
Editorial Édito D epuis sa création en 1747, l’École des Ponts ParisTech a toujours donné une place de choix aux infrastructures et a ainsi formé des générations d’ingénieurs qui ont participé à la réalisation des grands projets ferroviaires du monde entier, tels que Fulgence Bienvenüe, père du métro pari- sien, François Lacôte, un des pionniers du TGV au sein de la SNCF et d’Alstom, ainsi que Jean-Marie Duthilleul, architecte des gares. Cette tradition demeure très vivante aujourd’hui puisque l’École accueille plusieurs formations dédiées aux transports et à la mobilité comme le Mastère Spécialisé® « Systèmes de transports ferroviaires et urbains », créé en 2008. La qualité et l’intérêt des travaux de nos étudiants, qui ne se dément pas année après année, nous a conduit à les réunir dans un Yearbook pour vous les partager. S ince its creation in 1747, École des Ponts ParisTech has always put infrastructure in the spotlight, training generations of engineers who went on to be part of major railway projects all around the world—such as Fulgence Bienvenüe, father of the metro in Paris; François Lacôte, one of the pioneers of TGV within SNCF and Alstom; as well as Jean-Marie Duthilleul, architect of numerous train stations. This tradition is still very much alive today, since the school hosts several training courses dedi- cated to transport and mobility, such as the “Railway and Urban Transport System Engineering” Advanced Master®, created in 2008. Year after year, the quality and relevance of our students' projects never waver, inspiring us to collect them in a Yearbook to share them with you. Sophie MOUGARD Sophie Mougard Directrice de l’École des Ponts ParisTech École des Ponts ParisTech’s Headmaster 5
L’édito du Mastère Spécialisé® C ’est dans le cadre du Mastère Spécialisé® « Systèmes de transports ferroviaires et urbains » que les étudiants réalisent depuis 12 ans un projet de transport dans une ville étrangère. Il s’agit d’une étude de faisabilité, simi- laire aux études amont en phase d’émergence, que réalisent les grands bureaux d’études comme Systra ou Parsons. Ce travail collaboratif, réalisé dans le cadre du module « Conception d’un système de transport ferroviaire et urbain à l’international » (TC4), faisant jouer les complémentarités des savoir- faire, prend la forme d’un mini-mémoire. Cette étude porte sur un projet qui n’existe pas encore et qui n’a pas été étudié. Ainsi, les sujets sont choisis depuis 7 ans avec l’Agence fran- çaise de développement et concernent des transports de masse dans les grandes mégapoles en voie de développement ou des pays que la Banque mondiale accompagne dans leur reconstruction. Mais les étudiants ne se rendent pas sur place. Ils sollicitent le vaste réseau des experts, des ambassades, des institutions financières, utilisent au maxi- mum des ressources documentaires sur le Web et… leur débrouillardise. Depuis 2 ans, Antoine Chèvre (expert en transports et ancien de Systra) a pris le relais d’Arnaud Dauphin, notre interlocuteur à l’Agence française de développement sur ces projets, et depuis septembre 2021, Federico Antoniazzi a succédé à Françoise Manderscheid en tant que directeur du MS®. Pour la promotion 2021, l’AFD nous a proposés des projets situés sur trois continents : l’Asie, l’Afrique et l’Amérique du Sud. Deux groupes ont travaillé sur une liaison ferroviaire desservant deux pays : l’une entre la Thaïlande, le Vietnam et le Cambodge (liaison TransIndochine), l’autre entre Chennai en Inde et Colombo au Sri Lanka. Les trois autres pro- jets proposent des solutions de transport en milieu urbain : un train de banlieue entre Accra et Tema (au Ghana), une ligne de métro à Cali (en Colombie) et un système de transport par câble à Metro Cebu (aux Phi- lippines). Du fait de leur qualité certaine, certains de ces projets seront même présentés par Antoine Chèvre aux agences des pays concernés. Vous pourrez en parcourir les résumés dans ce Urban and Railway Transport Studies’ Yearbook. Nous espérons que, tout comme les ambas- Federico sades, les villes et les gouvernements qui nous demandent la diffusion ANTONIAZZI Directeur du de ces études, vous serez sensible à la qualité de ces travaux. En vous Mastère Spécialisé® souhaitant bonne lecture et bon voyage entre Cebu, Cali, Accra, Tema, « Systèmes de transports ferroviaires Chennai et Colombo… et urbains » Advanced Master®'s Federico Antoniazzi director et Françoise Manderscheid 6
A word from the Advanced Master® I t is for the “Urban and Railway Transport System Engineering” Advanced Master® that students have been designing for 12 years a transport project in a foreign city. That project consists of a feasibility study, similar to those performed in the design stage of a project by offices such as Systra or Parsons. This collective study, made in the framework of the TC4 module (“design of a worldwide, railway and urban transport system”), allowing students to complement one ano- ther with their different savoir-faire, is carried out in the form of a short thesis. This study has to develop a project that has never been made or stu- died before. That’s why, for the past 7 years, topics have been chosen together with the Agence française de développement and focused on mass-transit in megacities of developing countries, or countries the World Bank helps rebuild. But the students don’t go to the towns they study. They make use of a large network of experts, embassies and financial institutions, online resources and... their own resourcefulness. For the past 2 years, Antoine Chèvre (a transport expert and a former Systra employee), has replaced Arnaud Dauphin, as our contact for the Agence française de développement, and since September 2021, Fede- rico Antoniazzi has become the Advanced Master’s director, succeeding Françoise Manderscheid. For the 2021 class, we have selected together with the AFD projects concerning three continents: Asia, Africa and South America. Two groups of students worked on a rail link serving two countries: one between Thailand, Vietnam and Cambodia (TransIndochina railway), the other between Chennai in India and Colombo in Sri Lanka. The three other projects propose transport solutions in urban areas: a suburban train between Accra and Tema (in Ghana), a metro line in Cali (Colombia) and an aerial cableway in Metro Cebu (in Philippines). Due to their high quality, some of these projects will be even spread by Antoine Chèvre to agencies from the relevant countries. Their summaries are at your disposal in this Urban and Railway Transport Studies’ Yearbook. We hope that, just like the embassies, cities and governments asking us to circulate these studies, you will clearly see how interesting they are. We wish you a pleasant read and a good trip to Cebu, Cali, Accra, Tema, Chennai and Colombo… Françoise MANDERSCHEID Federico Antoniazzi Responsable du Module TC4 and Françoise Manderscheid TC4 module teacher 7
Le Mastère Spécialisé® Il était une fois le Mastère Spécialisé® Systèmes de transports ferroviaires et urbains L e Mastère a été créé en 2008 pour pallier la pénurie d’experts ferroviaires pour la RATP, la SNCF Alstom, Bombardier, Siemens, etc. Cette formation propose une vision d’ensemble du système ferroviaire et urbain, selon une approche multidisciplinaire, inté- grant les aspects techniques, économiques et règlementaires. Elle s’adresse à des professionnels ayant déjà plusieurs années d’expérience en transport. Les étudiants y apprennent à conce- voir, exploiter et maintenir les différents transports guidés, qu’il s’agisse de trains, de métros, de tramways ou de Bus Rapid Transit (BRT), ainsi que leurs infrastructures. On insiste particulièrement sur le mass-tran- sit dans un contexte où l’urbanisation galopante rend indispensable le recours à des modes de transport fortement capacitaires pour faire face à la congestion et à la pollution. Près de 160 professionnels participent à l’enseignement et enca- drent les étudiants sur des projets collectifs. En effet, l’enseignement du Mastère s’appuie sur plusieurs grands projets, notamment le tracé d’une infrastructure, la conception d’un plan de signalisation et la conception d’un matériel roulant. Ce dernier se trouve être le projet de conception d’un nouveau système de transport à l’international, dont vous pouvez lire les résumés dans le présent ouvrage. Le diplôme confère aux élèves le titre d’« experts internationaux en systèmes de transports ferroviaires et urbains ». Se côtoient dans une même promotion ingénieurs de conception ou de maintenance, experts en exploitation ou en signalisation, ingénieurs systèmes, économistes, chefs de projet. Aujourd’hui les anciens élèves du Mastère constituent un réseau de 375 alumni présents dans plus de 20 pays. La richesse du réseau réside dans la variété des profils et des expériences des étu- diants. Beaucoup d’entre eux s’impliquent dans l’enseignement et l’or- ganisation de visites ou de voyages d’études qui participent aussi à la vitalité de la formation et à sa notoriété internationale. Federico Antoniazzi et Françoise Manderscheid 8
The Advanced Master® Once upon a time there was the Railway and Urban Transport System Engineering Advanced Master® T he Advanced Master® was created in 2008 to make up for the shortage of railway experts for RATP, SNCF Alstom, Bombardier, Siemens, etc. This training course provides an overview of the railway and urban system, using a multidisciplinary approach with technical, economic and regulatory angles. It is aimed at professionals with several years of experience in transport. Stu- dents learn how to design, operate and maintain a variety of guided transport systems, including trains, subways, trams and BRT, as well as their infrastructure. A particular emphasis is put on mass transit, since rapid urbanization means that high-capacity transportation beco- mes essential to cope with congestion and pollution. Nearly 160 professionals teach and supervise students on collective projects. Indeed, the training course relies heavily on them: the design of an infrastructure, the design of a signalling plan and the design of rolling stock. Specifically, the latter happens to be the design project for a new transport system in a foreign country; the summary of these studies can be read in this very publication. The Advanced Master® gives students the title of “International Experts in Railway and Urban Transport Systems”. In the same class, there are design or maintenance engineers, operating or signalling experts, sys- tems engineers, economists, project managers… Today, the alumni form a network of 375 students in more than 20 countries. The value of this network lies in the variety of student profiles and experiences. Many of them are involved in teaching and organizing visits or study tours, which also contri- bute to the vitality of the Advanced Master® and its international reputation. Federico Antoniazzi and Françoise Manderscheid 9
Enseigner le ferroviaire à l’École 1832 Charles-Joseph MINARD Railway classes at the École Amédée BOMMART 1842 1852 Jacques MANIEL 1855 François JACQMIN Louis-Charles SEVENE 1867 1873 } Pierre Dominique BAZAINE-VASSEUR 1880 Jules MARTIN Charles BRICKA 1891 1899 Désiré FOUAN Albert DESCUBES 1918 1927 André MARTINET Louis CAMBOURNAC 1940 1951 Georges CHAN Charles FEYRABEND 1961 } 1968 Robert BIAIS Jean ALIAS 1972 1985 Philippe ROUMEGUERE Pascal LUPO 2003 Création du Mastère spécialisé® « Systèmes de transports ferroviaires et urbains » } 2008 Birth of the Advanced Master Paul BOUVAREL 2013 Françoise MANDERSCHEID 2021 Federico ANTONIAZZI 1010
Extrait du Cours de chemins de fer de Pierre Dominique Bazaine-Vasseur de 1873. École nationale des ponts et chaussées, 4°23037, en ligne sur https://heritage.ecoledesponts.fr. Page from Pierre Dominique Bazaine-Vasseur from 1873. Extrait du Journal de mission en Allemagne d’Albert Petsche, Ferdinand Conesson et Louis Goury, 1884. École nationale des ponts et chaus- sées, Ms. 3153, en ligne sur https://heritage.ecoledesponts.fr Page from a 19th century students’ project journal. 11
Table of contents Sommaire 15 Creation of a Santiago de Cali (Colombia) Metro line 27 Accra-Tema suburban railway line 41 India-Sri Lanka Railway line 57 New Railway Line in Indochina 69 Designing a ropeway between the airport and the business district in Metro Cebu (Philippines) 82 La promotion 2020-2021 The students 84 Le voyage d’études en Savoie The study trip in Savoie 88 Trajectoire internationale International experience 91 Sujets des Yearbook précédents Previous Yearbooks content 93 La Source, diffuseur de savoirs La Source, spreading knowledge 13
Creation of a Santiago de Cali (Colombia) Metro line Mohamed DIALLO Pierre LENOBLE Léo MAISONOBE Cyril RUF Thomas SORRIAUX 15
Creation of a Santiago de Cali (Colombia) Metro line S antiago de Cali est une ville très attractive, du fait de ses ressources naturelles et de sa position géographique, qui en font aujourd’hui la troisième ville de Colombie, avec plus de 2 millions d’habitants, et une des zones urbaines les plus denses du monde avec 19 700 hab/km². En comparaison de ce dynamisme, le système de transport en commun de la ville, qui repose sur le bus, semble insuffisant et s’accompagne d’une congestion routière très importante. Nous étudions l’opportunité de déployer une ligne de métro répondant aux enjeux de mobilité, de modernité et de cohé- sion territoriale de la ville de Santiago de Cali. La faisabilité technique et la viabilité économique de différents tracés et de modes de trans- port sont analysées afin d’identifier une solution cohérente avec les besoins et les possibilités de la ville. Avec une fréquentation de plus de 21 000 pphpd à son lancement, l’analyse conclut sur la pertinence d’un système de métro automatique sur un axe est-sud. Ce projet sera financé sur une durée de 47 ans et permettra une forte amélioration de l’offre de mobilité pour les zones densément peuplées et pour les dessertes d’intérêt prioritaire de Santiago de Cali. Mots-clés: métro automatique, exploitation, Santiago de Cali, étude du choix du système de transport, optimisation économique S antiago de Cali is a very attractive city thanks to its natural resources and geographical location, which results in being the 3rd city of Colombia, with more than 2 million inhabitants, and one of the densest urban zones in the world with an average of 19,700 inh/km². The public transport system of the city, relying on buses, seems inade- quate and participates in city traffic congestion. This document tackles the opportunity to deploy a subway line dealing with Santiago de Cali’s mobility, modernity and territorial cohesion stakes. Technical feasibi- lity and economic viability of various routes and types of material will be studied in order to identify a consistent solution in keeping with the city’s needs and possibilities. With an attendance of more than 21 000 pphpd after commissioning, this analysis concludes on the relevance of an automatic metro system along an East-South axis. This project will be financed over a 47 years period and will lead to a strong improvement in Santiago de Cali public transport mobility offer for dense populated areas and for priority services. Keywords: automatic metro, operation, Santiago de Cali, alternative system review, economic optimisation 16
Creation of a Santiago de Cali (Colombia) Metro line 1. Santiago de Cali, an untapped potential In 2019, Colombia is the 4th Latin American economy with a $ 787 billions GDP. The country population reached 50 million inhabitants in 2019. Figure 1: Map of Colombia © OpenStreetMaps contributors, CC BY-SA. Modified by Mohamed Diallo, Pierre Lenoble, Léo Maisonobe, Cyril Ruf et Thomas Sorriaux. It is one of the world’s emerging economies with many assets such as geolo- gical resources, tourism, developed industries, a healthy public finance system and a young, skilled labour force. The country is in the process of putting an end to its history of political turmoil and violence, but in the meantime, Colombia is still struggling with poor education and health systems leading to strong social inequalities (28 % of popu- lation is under the poverty threshold). Santiago de Cali is located in the plains of Cauca Valley in the heart of the Andes, and enjoys an equatorial climate. With 2 million inhabitants, Cali is the third largest city of Colombia. The population is growing at a regular rate and projections foresee a steady growth for the next 3 decades at least. This phenomenon will expand the road and public transport congestion, already existing. Although the unification of all public transportation under the SITM-MIO is underway, discontent with public transportation is growing, resulting in lowering rates of daily use. The generalized congestion and pollution have driven the city to purchase electric buses, join the Breathelife movement and promote soft modes of transport. Based on existing or under construction metro systems in Medellín and Bogota, developing a metro in Cali would be a wise and attractive decision for Caleños and executives, as shown in the SWOT analysis in figure 2. 17
Creation of a Santiago de Cali (Colombia) Metro line Figure 2: SWOT analysis © Mohamed Diallo, Pierre Lenoble, Léo Maisonobe, Cyril Ruf and Thomas Sorriaux. 2. Two axes to support a massive demand In order to choose an efficient, well-suited route and means of transport for the city of Cali, a multi-criteria analysis was elaborated for each of the two options. Figure 3: Route choices. Map of Santiago de Cali © Google Maps (données cartographiques © 2021). Modified by Mohamed Diallo, Pierre Lenoble, Léo Maisonobe, Cyril Ruf et Thomas Sorriaux. 1.1. Preferred route The two routes under consideration are the North-South and East-South routes. The selection criteria that will ultimately determine our decision are the ridership capacity, the desired level of service, the land and the constraints related to the works of art, as well as the total investment cost. This qualitative and quantitative analysis will enable us to focus on the East-South route which will connect the disadvantaged and poor areas in the east of the city to the business areas in the center. 18
Creation of a Santiago de Cali (Colombia) Metro line 1.2. Chosen mode of transportation We have to choose the transportation mode best suited to this route. A multi-criteria analysis will help us select one of the four modes considered: bus rapid transit system, tramway, Grade of Automation 2 metro and Grade of Automation 4 metro. Three types of criteria are kept for the comparative modes of transport study: • system performance and services provided: commercial speed, punctuality, frequency, insertion conditions, system reliability; • costs and planning; • environmental and social aspects: environmentally friendly, city image, impact on road congestion, noise level. The chosen means of transport is the Grade of Automation 4 metro. 3. A cost-oriented solution Figure 3: Future metro network line. Map © Google Maps (données cartographiques © 2021). Modified by Mohamed Diallo, Pierre Lenoble, Léo Maisonobe, Cyril Ruf and Thomas Sorriaux. As part of the strategy to offer a competitive metro system, technical proposals are made using a design to cost approach. Taking advantage of the available outdoor space provided by existing BRT infrastructure and wide streets, the project will be overground. 19
Creation of a Santiago de Cali (Colombia) Metro line A combination of three building techniques is used: • viaducts and bridges to cross roads junctions; • street level to minimize infrastructure cost; • embankments for junctions between street and viaduct levels (3 % slope). This strategy allows for the reduction of infrastructure investment costs by 30 % in comparison with a complete viaduct infrastructure. The wideness of the streets also allows for a large curve radius which, combined with a 940 m average intersta- tion distance, leads to a high commercial speed on the line, promoting attractivity for passengers. Furthermore, both line ends are connected to areas offering more than 9 ha for maintenance (infrastructure and rolling stock), parking, cleaning and opera- tional activities (Operational Control Centre). After dedicated feasibility studies, it is proposed to use ballasted track, steel wheels and 3rd rail for 750 V dc power supply in order to minimize infrastructure costs. In addition, the interface between infrastructure and rolling stock is defined according to the following static gauge: • width: 2,45 m; • height: 3,7 m; • length: 90 m. To comply with infrastructure gauge, passenger demand (over 26,500 pphpd) and an acceptable level of passenger comfort (4 p/m² and seated ratio over 23 %), the interval between trains during rush hours must be around 105 s. Consequently, a CBTC is deployed to operate the system in Grade of Automation 4 (GoA4). The short interval between trains leads to frequent and simultaneous stops and starts. Consequently, rolling stock and infrastructure are designed to allow for energy recovery and reuse. Preliminary study shows overall system energy savings around 20 %. Figure 4: © Mohamed Diallo, Pierre Lenoble, Léo Maisonobe, Cyril Ruf and Thomas Sorriaux. 20
Creation of a Santiago de Cali (Colombia) Metro line 4. Operational and maintenance strategies Based on a study realized by the administrative department of Cali, a 26,500 pphpd is expected at rush hour on the busiest interstation by 2030. From there we can deduce several elements, as shown in table 1. Table 1: Operating the metro line. Operating hours From 5 a.m. to 11 p.m. Number of daily trips 442,560 trips Headway in peak hour 105 sec Headway in off-peak 240 sec Average density of passengers 4 p/m² Commercial speed 39.2 km/h Travel time (in one direction) 32 min and 2 sec All assumptions are made with the objective to absorb the future increase in trans- port demand. For example, with the use of the CBTC system, the headway can be brought to 85 sec, which means a 15 % leeway margin. Moreover, with a headway during off-peak hours of 4 minutes, it’s possible to engage fewer trains without degra- ding the current performance of the BRT. With a commercial speed of 39.2 km/h, the travel time is reduced to 32 minutes and 2 seconds in one direction. In comparison, the BRT currently offers a travel time of approximately one hour. To ensure safe operation, a single OCC directly integrated into the metro line will be in charge of managing safety and operations from the maintenance center. This OCC includes video surveillance management and is in permanent contact with travel information agents, security teams, control officers, maintenance agents and manage- ment teams, for an estimated total of 300 Full Time Equivalent. Based on our project’s assumptions, we can estimate a fleet of 38 trains to be operating at the peak hour and a reserve of 8 trains for maintenance activities (20 % ratio). 5. An economically and socially viable project The capital expenditures (CAPEX) for the project are not fully accounted for in this pre-study, which is why they are increased by a 15 % margin. The main costs are: • infrastructure (civil engineering structures: ground passage, embankments, viaduct); • whether the stations are ground-based or viaduct-based; • electrical equipment (3rd rail, substations, signalisation); 21
Creation of a Santiago de Cali (Colombia) Metro line • rolling stock (operation and maintenance fleet); • intellectual studies (project owner, product owner, etc.). Studies, investigations, and general prices 134 M€ Civil engineering 732 M€ Rail components 385 M€ Total 1,251 M€ Total with a 15 % optimistic bias 1,448 M€ The total CAPEX are valued to 1.4 billion euros, which is consistent with the metro line under construction in Bogota (Colombia). The gap between the two projects is explained by the solution of a mix between ground passage, embankments and viaduct structures which allows for infrastructure cost optimization. Is the project profitable? If so, when will the investments be reimbursed? To answer these questions, we based our method on the tutelary values of the 2013 French Quinet study. In order to adapt the monetary values to Colombia, a ratio between the average net income (2020) in Colombia and France was used (7.54). Some assump- tions are made to allow for calculations: • the price of the tickets for metro services (0.5 €) is based on the 2021 figure for the BRT (year of the study), which eliminates all possible social differences and represents an improvement in comparison with the current service; • the expected traffic rise is +240,000 passengers a day, 20 % of which will be coming from a modal shift from cars to metro (- 40,000 veh/day). As the negative impacts on environment and safety due to private cars far outweigh the operation of a GoA4 metro, noise, local pollutants, CO2 and accidentology, externalities are in favour of the project; • the road congestion is estimated to be unchanged as the project reuses the BRT roads; • the public funds opportunity coefficient (1.25) is applied in the socio-economic results to account for the public money spent over the project. The results show that the revenues outweigh the expenses in operation and main- tenance (+ 45 M €/year). The operator is projected to be profitable after a 47-year period considering a 0.5 % rate of interest on the investments. 22
Creation of a Santiago de Cali (Colombia) Metro line Figure 5: © Mohamed Diallo, Pierre Lenoble, Léo Maisonobe, Cyril Ruf and Thomas Sorriaux. The World Bank has indicated that a discount rate of 6 % on the yearly costs and benefits should be applied for long term transportation projects in Colombia. The rolling stock is designed to last 30 years and the infrastructure 75 years. Therefore, the infrastructure has a residual value of 351 M€ after the 40-year horizon. The socio-eco- nomic balance sets a positive Net Present Value and an Internal Rate of Return greater than discount rate of 6 %. The metro line is indeed worth the investment. Net Present Value [€] 19,385,570 Internal Rate of Return [%] 6,14 > 6 6. Project organisation To carry out this project, we propose to define a transport authority in charge of organi- zing transports for Cali and its greater area. This entity should benefit from an assistance with the project management during all the project phases and in particular for interna- tional tenders management. The transport authority will then gain skills over the course ofthe operation and maintenance of the system. 23
Creation of a Santiago de Cali (Colombia) Metro line Figure 7: © Mohamed Diallo, Pierre Lenoble, Léo Maisonobe, Cyril Ruf and Thomas Sorriaux. 7. Consistent funding The graph below summarizes the investment budget according to its different sources. According to the total amount (1,448 M€), 90% could be financed by direct funding (loans), and 10% by donations and grants. This ratio is permitted by the good rating given by the credit rating agency ‘Fitch Ratings’. Figure 8: © Mohamed Diallo, Pierre Lenoble, Léo Maisonobe, Cyril Ruf and Thomas Sorriaux. 24
Creation of a Santiago de Cali (Colombia) Metro line 8. A coherent project schedule This high-level schedule over fourteen years shows the overall process, from the poli- tical decision to start the project, until the start of revenue service. Figure 9: © Mohamed Diallo, Pierre Lenoble, Léo Maisonobe, Cyril Ruf and Thomas Sorriaux. 9. Levers for the future Santiago de Cali faces challenges of road congestion, pollution, safety and uncon- trolled development of the informal public transport sector. The comparative analysis of possible routes and transportation modes was based on criteria such as satisfaction of transport demand, costs, quality and level of service. It led to the conclusion that an automatic Metro is the best choice. The analysis of the dynamics of the city also shows that the East / South route ensures the connection between the activity centers of downtown Cali and the disad- vantaged districts of the East, thus promoting development. The implementation of an automatic GOA4 metro on an East / South route in the city of Cali is a viable project according to the socio-economic analysis, which concludes with a positive net present value. In addition to this first metro line, so as to better justify its implementation and improve mobility in the city of Cali, we can identify various additional levers: • the North/South axis: this route remains an option for the future development of the metro network. This future branch will decongest the northern road network of the city while providing passengers with a more complete service to the city points of interest; • mobility plans: it involves the development of more efficient urban master plans integrating existing urban transport modes as well as future projects. These plans are subject to the creation of a transport organizing authority (AOT) responsible for the integration of the Metro, the city bus system and the informal sector. 25
Accra-Tema suburban railway line Lucie BUAT Richard GARCEAU Ifra TAGOURLA 27
Accra-Tema suburban railway line A vec plus de 2 millions d’habitants, Accra, capitale du Ghana, est une ville de services jeune et dynamique. C’est le centre politique, administratif, économique et financier du pays. À 30 kilomètres à l’est, Tema, premier port en eau profonde du pays, a pour objectif de devenir l’un des ports majeurs de l’Afrique subsaharienne. En ce sens, la zone Accra-Tema est le principal pôle de développe- ment économique du pays mais elle est aujourd’hui confrontée à d’im- portants problèmes de saturation de trafic routier. En effet, un trajet entre les deux villes peut prendre jusqu’à 2h30, conséquence d’une forte densité de population et d’un besoin important de transport de marchandises. La ligne ferroviaire existante est, quant à elle, sous-ex- ploitée avec un seul aller-retour par jour. Cette étude recommande la mise en place d’un nouveau système de transport de voyageurs entre les deux villes, proposant une desserte et des fréquences plus adap- tées aux besoins. Le service est prévu à l’horizon 2029. Mots-clés : Ghana, transport ferroviaire Accra-Tema, mobilité péri-urbaine, désaturation trafic routier, TOD W ith over 2 million inhabitants, Accra, the capital of Ghana, is a young and dynamic city offering multiple services. It is the political, administrative, economic and financial center of the country. Tema, 35 kilometers to the east, is the first deepwater port of the country and intends to become one of the main ports in Sub-Saharan Africa. Accordingly, the Accra-Tema area is the country's leading area in economic development. However, it is currently facing major road traffic saturation issues. Indeed, a trip between the two cities can take up to two and a half hours, the consequence of a high population density and a significant need for goods transport. Meanwhile, the existing rail line proposes a very low service with only one round trip per day, which makes it unattractive. This study recommends the creation of a new passenger railway transportation system between the two cities, with a high level of services matching with the needs. Service is planned for 2029. Keywords: Ghana, Accra-Tema railway transport, suburban mobility, traffic congestion reduction, transit-oriented development 28
Accra-Tema suburban railway line Introduction The main objective of our study is to present one or more alternatives for passen- ger transport between the capital, Accra, and Tema’s harbour, in order to reduce road congestion. The challenge is to improve the daily life of the population through simpler, more efficient and faster mobility while remaining financially accessible to all. Our researches on existing transport modes led us to learn about the 2013 Ghana Railway Master Plan, a long-term strategic vision. A mixed rail project has been launched by Ghana with European companies (Ghana European Railway Consortium) between Tema and Kumasi, a city further north. That project is part of our study for the area up to Achimota, a suburb of Accra. Beyond meeting primary expectations, this rail axis could constitute a real asset for economic development to support the urbanization of the Greater Accra Region. Figure 1: Railway network of Ghana © Jkan997, CC BBY 3.0 (source: Wikimedia Commons). Modified by Lucie Buat, Richard Garceau, Ifra Tagourla, 2021. 29
Accra-Tema suburban railway line 1. Ghana overview The Republic of Ghana, a former British colony, is an independent country of West Africa since 1957. It is a democratic republic inspired by the British model, but with a complex executive structure resulting from a high number of ministries and a power shared between the national government and the local traditional chiefs. The current elected president is running his second consecutive mandate, which makes Ghana a relatively stable political regime. In many ways, the country is developing fast, with a population of nearly 30 million people and a positive demographic growth of 2 % each year, plus a fairly young median age (21.4 years) and a low unemployment rate (4.3 %). In addition to this, Ghana also shows a profitable economy benefitting from the export of its natural resources such as cocoa, oil and gold, with a constant growth of 5 to 8 % in GDP per year since 2005, one of the highest in the world. The goods import-export, the population density and the wealth increase create a huge demand in transportation, getting higher every year. However, the country never invested properly in its road and rail infrastructure and has begun to suffer from its limitations. The government recently decided to address this issue by heavily investing in rail infrastructure projects and creating several entities dedicated to transportation, including a Ministry of Rail in 2017. All of this being new, the lack of internal know-how in development, funds and operation often leads the country to rely on European or Asian partners. 2. Accra and Tema Accra and Tema are coastal cities located in the southeast of Ghana, close to the Gulf of Guinea; they are part of the Greater Accra. For the past 30 years, an intensive urbani- zation has been observed in this area due to capital growth and to the expansion of Te- ma’s harbour. According to the French Development Agency (AFD), 95 % of passengers and goods transport are currently achieved by road. As a consequence, traffic jams are part of the daily life of Ghanaians. Traveling the 35 km between the two cities can go from 50 minutes in off-peak period up to 2h30 in peak periods. Chief among the existing means of transportation is the tro-tro, an old minibus capable of carrying up to 20 passengers, without any guarantees of comfort or secu- rity. Passengers generally have to wait until the bus is full before a departure. It is however very cheap and offers a large variety of routes to users, which makes it the most popular. 30
Accra-Tema suburban railway line Figure 2. Passengers distribution of road transport modes between Accra and Tema © Lucie Buat, Richard Garceau, Ifra Tagourla, 2021. At the same time, an existing railway line between Accra and Tema is operated with a very low service level. Due to its single daily round-trip and its 1h30-travel time offer, this line does not meet its public. Through this study, our objective is to propose a new railway system with a service offer matching the mobility needs of the population. In order to assess the future trans- port demand, an analysis of population density correlated with an analysis of points of interest has been performed. Results allow us to conclude that the existing line can cover most of the needs, but an extension must be considered to serve Ashaiman, a city in the north of Tema with a high population density. Figure 3: Population density and points of interest analysis. Map © Google Earth Pro 2021. Data: SIO, NOAA, U.S. Navy, NGA, GEBCO. Modified by Ifra Tagourla, Lucie Buat, Richard Garceau, 2021 according to population statistics from https://www.citypopulation.de/ 31
Accra-Tema suburban railway line Based on the Ghana Railway Master Plan and an airport passenger flows analysis, the demand has been quantified, both for 2029 – the effective date of operation – and for 2050 to provide a longer-term vision. Table 1: P.P.H.D.(people per hour and per destination) assessment for 2029 and 2050. 2029 2050 p.p.h.p.d 5 182 8 395 3. Scenarios definition Two different scenarios are considered in this study, with the common objective to reduce road traffic congestion between Accra and Ashaiman. Travel time, ticket price, frequency of service and on-board comfort will all be advantages to make rail transport attractive and meet the mobility needs of the Greater Accra population. The first one, called “regional scenario”, proposes a 41-minutes-travel time with the objective to be faster than road vehicles during off-peak period. To ensure an impor- tant average speed, it only serves the main attractive poles and the high population density areas. The second solution called “suburban scenario” allows for a better connection of the territory through more stops and a higher train frequency but with a slightly longer travel time of around 48 minutes, still under the 50 minutes target. 4. Technical Solutions 4.1. Route and Infrastructure We have studied different technical solutions for the route of the new line. Taking into account a significant coverage of the points of interest served, we favored the existing rail line route instead of the one along the coast. In addition, the railway project carried out in parallel by the GERC which will establish new infrastructure between Achimota and Tema (marked in yellow) will allow us to use these new standard gauge tracks. Our study focuses on both the “Accra-Achimota” and “Tema-Ashaiman” sections. The topography of the Greater Accra presents low altitude variations which is quite conducive to the establishment of a new railway line. 32
Accra-Tema suburban railway line Figure 4: Route of the new railway line Accra-Ashaiman. Map © Google Earth Pro, 2021. Data: SIO, NOAA, U.S. Navy, NGA, GEBCO. Modified by Lucie Buat, Richard Garceau, Ifra Tagourla, 2021. Our new line is a two-track standard gauge with the following characteristics: • ballast track system; • rails UIC60 (60E1) group UIC1n, corresponding to a heavy traffic load capable of ensuring a daily traffic of at least 120,000 T; • concrete bi-block sleepers. The total length of the line is 43 km with a platform width of 14.80 m taking into account a 3.80 m center distance of tracks. The new line includes 15 overbridges and underbridges. The most important ones are shown in the figure below: six culverts, one retaining wall and a pedestrian bridge. The low variation in altitude along the route allows for low amounts of cut and fill. Figure 5: Most important bridges. Map © Google Earth Pro, 2021. Data SIO, NOAA, U.S. Navy, NGA, GEBCO & AVP SEA 3D OA LAVIGNE CHERON Architects. Modified by Lucie Buat, Richard Garceau, Ifra Tagourla, 2021. 33
Accra-Tema suburban railway line 4.2. Railway stations Both of our proposed scenarios include new stations and stops to meet mobility needs. The figures below show the different services by scenario: Figure 6: Regional scenario stations © Lucie Buat, Richard Garceau, Ifra Tagourla, 2021. Figure 7: Suburban scenario stations © Lucie Buat, Richard Garceau, Ifra Tagourla, 2021. The line consists mainly of classic stations and stops with 2 platforms and 2 tracks. In order to allow easy access to the two platforms, we have set up underground passages connected to the platforms by stairs. These ones have a width of over 2.20 m between handrails to allow for passenger flow in both directions coming from the same platform. Escalators can be used to increase fluidity if necessary. These stations and stops must furthermore be accessible to people with reduced mobility. To comply with technical and safety standards, elevators will be installed on every platform, their openings oriented towards the platforms rather than the tracks. Due to their dead-end or crossing with cab change configurations, the Achimota, Accra and Ashaiman stations are equipped with 3 platforms each in order to manage easy cab change and secure degraded modes during operation. Figure 8: 3D modeling of a "classic" station, stop including equipment and structures: underground passage, access via stairs and elevators, docks shelters ©Lucie Buat, Richard Garceau, Ifra Tagourla, 2021. 34
Accra-Tema suburban railway line Figure 9: 3D modeling of Achimota station, stop including equipment and structures: underground passage, access via stairs and elevators, docks shelters ©Lucie Buat, Richard Garceau, Ifra Tagourla, 2021. 4.3. Power supply The GERC have plans to electrify their part of the railway line (70 % of the whole) with 25 kV-50 Hz. Three main solutions have been investigated for the remaining 30 %, brin- ging in additional requirements for the choice of the rolling stock: • case 1: a classic full electric rolling-stock (EMU) and a complete electrification of the line; • case 2: a battery electric multiple unit (BEMU) and a power supply system at terminus stations, including traction subsystem and catenary; • case 3: a battery electric multiple unit (BEMU) without any additional power supply system, relying on the electrified central line for sufficient power. A technical and financial investment analysis has been performed in order to select the most relevant solution. Results are described in the graph below according for all three cases and scenarios: Figure 10: Investment cost according to the fleet © Lucie Buat, Richard Garceau, Ifra Tagourla, 2021. 35
Accra-Tema suburban railway line For the regional and suburban scenarios, the train fleet numbers have been esti- mated at respectively 12 and 21 cars. As per the results of the figure 10, we then decide to select case 2 for the regional scenario and case 1 for the suburban scenario. 4.4. Rolling stock In order to limit the investment costs, two standard products have been selected: “Regio 2N” and “NAT”. Both are proposed by the manufacturer Bombardier Transport, newly Alstom. The “Regio 2N” meets all regional scenario needs, offering a battery powered electrical system and a considerable seating capacity for its short length. The train length is an essential parameter since the line includes dead-end railway stations requiring a cab change in a minimum time. On the other hand, the “NAT” is a suitable solution for the suburban scenario. Not only are its capacity and length in line with the transport plan, but it also provides enough acceleration performance to operate as a commuter train and for a good quality/price ratio. 4.5. Signalling The new line will be equipped with an ERTMS signalling system (European Rail Traf- fic Management System). This system has many advantages such as interoperability, cross-border operation, security performance, reliability and capacity but also reduced maintenance costs. The ERTMS Level 2 system is today presented as the future of such systems, without the burden of lateral signalling. Since the current line does not have any signalling system, this solution will save lots of signal investment costs. Moreover, the driver will be able to observe all of the signalling from the cab. In order to cover and manage incidents, a centralized command post will be set up at the Accra station. To ensure the circulation of freight trains that could operate during the night, this station will operate 24 hours a day. 4.6. Operation & Maintenance The travel time that was defined during our study is made up of the running time between stations and the stops duration. It takes into account the constraints of the chosen route, such as the speed of the line and the configuration of the stations (e.g. the Achimota crossing station with a cab change). Our goal being to compete with the tro-tros, this total travel time must remain under 50 minutes for our two scenarios, with the implementation of a regular service, its frequency more or less important depending on the scenario. 36
Accra-Tema suburban railway line Table 2: Frequencies and headways during peak hours and commercial speed according to scenarios. « Regional » Scenario « Suburban » Scenario 2029 2050 2029 2050 Maximum estimated frequency 3 trains/h/d 5 trains/h/d 6 trains/h/d 10 trains/h/d Maximum selected frequency 4 trains/h/d 5 trains/h/d 6 trains/h/d 10 trains/h/d Minimum selected headway 15 min 12 min 10 min 6 min Commercial speed 64 km/h 54 km/h This information enabled us to size the associated rolling stock fleets, as well as the hourly chart and the human resources required (drivers, operating, sales and security agents) to carry out the transport plan. During off-peak period, the frequency is reduced to 50 %. In order to guarantee the traffic robustness, it is necessary to implement a high-performance maintenance system for rolling stock at the end of the line. To date, there is no suitable facility for the new equipment, so we have chosen to build a main- tenance site near the Ashaiman station, consisting of a two-track workshop and a track cluster allowing the trainsets to be accommodated at the end of their service. Main- tenance slots in the hollow of the shifts are defined to optimize the availability of the trainsets. Significant investments in strategic installations and tools are imperative to support the reliability of trainsets. In order to make the complete rail system consistent, it is imperative that an insti- tutional actor play a coordinating role for all those involved in the transport service. To that end, the Greater Accra Passengers Transport Executive (GAPTE), which currently only deals with road modes on the perimeter of Greater Accra, must take on the responsibility of the entire transport offer by integrating the rail offer. This would be determinant for the success of mobility combining all modes of transport. 5. Financial and economic analysis Beyond the technical aspects of the railway, the best scenario must meet the objective of financial profitability or at least prove its economic interest in the long term. We have thus proceeded to the calculation of the components necessary for the construction of the net present value (NPV): the benefits generated by the externalities (CO2, noise, road mortality and injuries, value of time), the economic surplus, and the income-expense balance. We have also identified the investments to be made before 2029 (CAPEX) and the annual operating costs over 20 years (OPEX). 37
Accra-Tema suburban railway line Table 3: Investments and NPV per scenario. Regional Suburban CAPEX ($) -675,703,356 -603,254,782 Residual value rolling stock($) 50,879,525 41,900,786 Income-expense balance ($) 55,170,607 57,257,947 NPV ($) 60,894,260 91,431,423 For our two scenarios, the NPV is positive, proving their high potential, but the suburban mode presents the greatest long-term economic interest for both investors and train users. 6. Project building and planning Considering the different types of existing fundings and in continuity with the financial arrangement already made for part of the line, we have opted for a mixed one. The Ghanaian government will participate with its own funds up to 20 % of the total cost of the project. Bank loans will be requested from financial institutions up to 30% of the to- tal project cost. The financing institutions identified are mainly the World Bank through IDA, the African Development Bank (ADB) and the French Development Agency (AFD). Finally, for the remaining 50 % of the project cost, we will set up a PPP BOT (Public-Pri- vate Partnership, Build-Operate-Transfer) contract. The concession period is estimated at 30 years including the construction period of the line. Figure 11: Project funding © Lucie Buat, Richard Garceau, Ifra Tagourla, 2021. The following phases present the macro tasks of the planning necessary to ensure commissioning of the line in July 2029. We estimate a duration of 8 years from the beginning of the feasibility study up to commissioning proper. 38
Accra-Tema suburban railway line Figure 12: Schedule for the building of the new line © Lucie Buat, Richard Garceau, Ifra Tagourla, 2021. A qualified workforce will have to be operational as soon as the line is commis- sioned, so sourcing needs as soon as 2022 will be necessary. We would recommend that the Ghanaian government contract a technical assistance in order to organize and coordinate all the required tasks for the implementation of the project. Conclusion Our study shows that Greater Accra faces very significant road congestion between Accra and Ashaiman. This is the consequence of a lack of coordinated public transport policy and associated investments. Our project proposes a true alternative by imple- menting mass passenger transport with the suburban scenario, but it will not be a total and definitive solution. Greater Accra must have an effective Mobility Organizing Autho- rity with a clear development project aimed at facilitating the movement of people. It will lead to an economic development of its entire territory, relying on major assets like the country's capital, the international airport and the country's largest harbour. It must be able to rely on its growing economy outside of the COVID-19 period, and on the youth of its population to rise to the technical, human and social challenge. 39
India-Sri Lanka Railway line Stéphane AUBERT Nader BERRO Laura BLANCHARD Marion CAPDET Baïla DEME 41
India-Sri Lanka Railway line L ’Inde et le Sri Lanka sont proches culturellement, mais ils sont marqués par de grandes disparités éco-démographiques. Ces deux pays ont en commun des frontières maritimes aux alen- tours du détroit de Palk dans l’océan Indien. Ils ont partagé pendant quelque temps une liaison ferroviaire passant par un service de ferry, qui n’existe plus aujourd’hui. Notre projet consiste à créer une liaison ferroviaire entre ces deux pays, permettant de relier Chennai, en Inde, à la capitale du Sri Lanka, Colombo. Après l’étude de plusieurs scéna- rios, le choix d’un pont ferroviaire traversant la baie de Palk s’est avéré le plus adapté. Ce projet présente plusieurs difficultés, telles que l’in- frastructure, lourde à construire, ou l’acceptation culturelle du projet, à savoir que la baie de Palk est une zone sacrée pour les hindous. Afin que ce projet soit mené à bien, un partenariat public-privé doit être mis en place afin d’assurer le financement de la ligne et de rassembler toutes les expertises techniques possibles, qu’elles soient publiques ou privées. Mots-clés : pont, transport combiné accompagné, Inde, Sri Lanka, baie de Palk I ndia and Sri Lanka are two countries with very similar cultures, yet quite different from a demographic and economic point of view. Both countries share a maritime border near Palk Bay in the Indian ocean and have shared a railway line in the past that was devastated by a cyclone. Other types of links such as ferries also existed but stopped their operations with time. Our project consists of building a new railway line between the two countries, in order to connect Chennai in India with the capital of Sri Lanka, Colombo. This project faces many challenges, especially the heavy infrastructure that it requires. The rolling stock was inspired by Eurotunnel/Getlink, with trains carrying cargo as well as cars, trucks, and buses, with an estimated passage time of around 50 minutes. The project also faces cultural risks related to the acceptance of the project, as the line passes through a Hindu holy land. This project has a lot of potential and could create better economic as well as diplo- matic relations between India and Sri Lanka. Keywords: bridge, accompanied combined transport, India, Sri Lanka, Palk Bay 42
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