TENDANCES TI SELON GARTNER, FORMULE VINS ET FROMAGES
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TENDANCES TI SELON GARTNER,
FORMULE VINS ET FROMAGES
Sherbrooke, 23 mai 2018
François Banville, partenaire exécutif, Gartner
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© 2012 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
1 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
2 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Dans les pays à
faible revenu,
combien de
filles
complètent leur
primaire?
A: 20%
B: 40%
C: 60%
3 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Où demeure la majorité de la
population?
A: Dans des pays à faible revenu
B: à revenu moyen
C: à haut revenu
4 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Dans les 20 dernières
années, la proportion
de gens vivants dans
une pauvreté extrême a
A: presque doublée
B: restée +/- pareille
C: presque la moitié
5 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Quelle est
l’espérance de vie
dans le monde
aujourd’hui?
A: 50 ans
B: 60 ans
C: 70 ans
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En ce moment, il y a 2
milliards d’enfants de 0
à 15 ans. Combien y en
aurait-il en 2100 selon
l’ONU?
A: 4 milliards
B: 3 milliards
C: 2 milliards
7 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
L’ONU prédit que la population s’accroitra
de 4 milliards en 2100. Pourquoi?
A: Il y aura plus d’enfants (0-15)
B: Il y aura plus d’adultes (15-74)
C: Il y aura plus de personnes âgées (75+)
8 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Comment a changé le
nombre de décès dus à
des désastres naturels
dans les 100 dernières
années
A: plus du double
B: à peu près le même
C: moins de la moitié
9 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Il y a à peu près 7 milliards de personnes dans le monde
aujourd’hui. Où vivent-ils?
A: 1G Europe / 4G en Asie / 1G en Afrique / 1G en Amérique
B: 1G Europe / 3G en Asie / 2G en Afrique / 1G en Amérique
C: 1G Europe / 3G en Asie / 1G en Afrique / 2G en Amérique
10 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Quel pourcentage des enfants d’un an ont été vacciné pour une maladie? A: 20% B: 50% C: 80% 11 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
À travers le monde,
les hommes de 30
ans ont passé en
moyenne 10 ans à
l’école. Combien
d’années les femmes
du même âge ont-
elles faites?
A: 9 ans
B: 6 ans
C: 3 ans
12 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.En 1996, les tigres, les pandas géants et les rhinocéros noirs étaient listés comme des espèces en voie de disparition. De ces trois, combien le sont encore? A: 2 B: 1 C: aucune 13 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Quelle proportion
des gens dans le
monde a un accès
quelconque à
l’électricité?
A: 20%
B: 50%
C: 80%
14 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Les experts climatiques croient que dans les 100 prochaines années la température va, en moyenne: A: devenir plus chaude B: rester la même C: devenir plus froide 15 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
16 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
17
So much to do, so little time!
The White Rabbit, Alice in Wonderland.
17 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Méthodologie Hype Cycle 18 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Google Ngram pour le mot Rocket 19 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Comment fonctionne le « hype cycle »
Battage médiatique
Courbe d’adoption
Attentes
Temps
Déclencheur Somment Puits des Pente de Plateau de la
des attentes désillusions l’illumination productivité
exagérées
20 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Opportunités
Maximiser l’effet
Attentes publicitaire
Identifier l’angle Recruter de
d’attaque l’expertise
Optimiser la Profiter des
Planifier les risques et des couts
relation avec le
achats plus bas.
vendeur
Exploiter une niche
Prendre de Être en
l’avance sur la avant de la
compétition vague
Accumuler de
l’expérience
Temps
Déclencheur Somment Puits des Pente de Plateau de la
des attentes désillusions l’illumination productivité
exagérées
21 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Google Ngram pour le mot Rocket
Somment
des attentes
exagérées
Puits des
désillusions
Plateau de la
productivité
Pente de
Déclencheur
l’illumination
22 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.IA Education
Applications
23 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Quand je parle d’intelligence artificielle, à quoi pensez-vous en premier?
AI Today — Virtuous Cycle
Why Now? Deep
High-Performance
Compute Learning
Algorithms
Data
Systems Virtuous Cycle
and Sensors
Adapted from a presentation by Alexander Linden:
"Key Trends in Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning"AI-Aided Intervention
▪ Goal: Improving student outcomes
Ivy Tech
▪ Approach:
– Collect and connect data
in Amazon Web Services
– September 2013, apply machine learning
▪ Mathematica Prototype => Python production
2016 Gartner Data &
▪ Random Forrest for now …
Analytics Excellence Award
– Build process to empower faculty and staff
(new President, July 2016) "Innovative strategies for cloud-
based data warehousing
▪ Outcome: with curated data collections,
integrated data dictionaries
– 83% accuracy in predicting course failure and interactive,
in-the-moment analytics."
– 3.3% drop in failing grades =
26
3,100 more students passing courses
© 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.AI Learning VPA Deakin Genie
▪ Goal: Support students learning at scale, 24/7
▪ Approach:
– Bot framework developed in "Digital Future Lab“
▪ Components sourced from market
– Learning stack: Integrated with LMS, library and SIS
– Reactive as well as proactive VPA:
▪ "Help me reference"
▪ "Your exam is in 2 weeks …"
▪ Outcome: Student feedback on pilot:
– Genie Beta, July 2017 to 5,000 students "This would be really helpful ...
I really like this assessment thing"
– Genie 1.0, Feb 2018 to all 57,000 students
"I love the fact that it knows my
– Commercializing the platform underway resources and I don't have to go online
and have fifteen or twenty clicks to find
– Genie 2.0 with IoT integration in roadmap information that I can find easily now,
The Deakin Genie videos: so that's great"
27 Official: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zsRPuU53E74
© 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Beta-users: https://video.deakin.edu.au/media/t/0_a4hjb86hAI Grading — Vendor Example
Gradescope
▪ Use: Helping teachers speed up grading
▪ Approach:
– Data: 10 million answers to ~100,000 questions.
– AI identifies and groups answers
– Instructors ensure answer groups are correct
"Traditionally, if you were to give
– Instructors score a test to 100 students and they
– AI continually learns all write the correct answer, you
would have to go through all
▪ Promise: 100 and mark them correct, with
– 90% reduction in grading times AI-assisted grading, you could
grade one answer and it would
– 75% reduction in pilot with 600 student exam. apply to all 100 students."
Sergey Karayev
CS PhD, a Gradescope co-founder
28 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Exostructure Strategy 29 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Ecosystem
Medium
Market
30 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Education Ecosystem
General
HTTP Digital Infrastructure TCP/IP
URL HTML SMTP
Digital
Digital Exostructure
Workday eT
Caliper DoE
Open Badge
Udacity Flipkart
USC
Tools/ Education
Medium
Specific HEI Employer Society
Services Providers ASU Starbucks Citizen
Blackboard Lynda.com
Program
Diploma
"Industry" Exostructure
Analog
Elsevier
CSN
Pell Grants
Money Patent
General Societal Infrastructure
Create Market Consume
31 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
“The Expanding Education Ecosystem:
A World of Choice” (G00228925)
Indirect Direct IndirectPartnering in Your Digitalized Education Ecosystem?
General HTML Digital Infrastructure
URL HTTP SMTP/MIME
DNS
TCP/IP
Digital
Blockchain
Digital Exostructure
Canvas Facebook eduPerson
Caliper eT
Workday GAPE PAR CDD MLO
Blackboard xAPI
2U Udacity QTI Open Badge Citizen
Sony Education Flipkart DoE
ASU
Tools/ LinkedIn Education USC
Medium
Specific Services Providers HEI Uni X Employer Society
Lynda.com GeorgiaTech AT&T
PeopleSoft Starbucks Students Loans, CSN
EvAlgo Inc StraighterLine
Banner
Dublin Core ACME Inc
Government
Pearson Program Bologna
Diploma
Grant
Analog
Elsevier
"Industry" Exostructure State Government
Courts
Money Patent
Culture
General Societal Infrastructure
Create Market Consume
32 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Indirect Direct IndirectPartnering in the Digital(ized) Education Ecosystem
General Digital Infrastructure
HTTP TCP/IP
URL HTML SMTP
Digital
Blockchain
Digital Exostructure
wadeandwendy.ai
Microsoft EvAlgo Inc Capgemini
2U Udacity Open Badge
ASU Flipkart
Tools/ LinkedIn Education USC
Medium
Specific Services Providers HEI Uni X Employer Society
Lynda.com GeorgiaTech AT&T
Sony Education Starbucks Citizen
ACME Inc
Analog
"Industry" Exostructure
General Societal Infrastructure
Create Market Consume
33 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Indirect Direct IndirectDigital Outpaces Analog in the Education Ecosystem
General HTML Digital Infrastructure
URL HTTP SMTP/MIME
DNS
TCP/IP
Digital
Blockchain
Digital Exostructure Nonzero
Canvas Facebook eduPerson
Caliper eT Robert Wright
Workday GAPE PAR CDD MLO
Blackboard xAPI
2U Udacity QTI Open Badge Citizen
Sony Education Flipkart DoE
ASU
Tools/ LinkedIn Education USC
Medium
Specific Services Providers HEI Uni X Employer Society
Lynda.com GeorgiaTech AT&T
PeopleSoft Starbucks Students Loans, CSN
EvAlgo Inc StraighterLine
Banner
Dublin Core ACME Inc
Government
Pearson Program Bologna
Diploma
Grant
Analog
Elsevier
"Industry" Exostructure State Government
Courts
Money Patent
Culture
General Societal Infrastructure
Create Market Consume
34 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Indirect Direct IndirectLOWA 35 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Unification des réseaux 36 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
IoT Business Solutions 37 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Business and Consumers
Year Founded: 1994
2015 Revenue: $107B
B C B B Year Founded: 1999
2015 Revenue: $16B
E-Commerce Platforms &
& E-Service Supply Chains
C B C C
Year Founded: 2009 Crowdsourcing Social Networking
2015 Cumulative & Crowdfunding "Sharing Economy" Year Founded: 2004
funding: $2B 2015 Revenue: $18BNow Two New Connected Entities Are Coming
"Thing" (connected physical product) A?
(Autonomous,
AI-Like, Agent)
T A
Evolving
over next 5
to 15 years
Proliferating over next 5 to 10 yearsT and A Expand the Universe of Business Model
Possibilities b c t a
B2B B2C b ? ?
C2B C2C c ? ?
t ? ? ? ?
a ? ? ? ?Businesses offer
Disrupting Between Now and 2026 value to things.
Example: Car park
operators offer
B2T temporary spaces,
and recharging rates
Things offer value to semi-autonomous
to consumers. electric vehicles.
Example: Individuals offer
Lawnmower senses C2T value to things.
lawn and growing Example:
conditions and auto- Freelancers offer
orders seed. cleaning services to
T2B T2C T2T ovens.
Things offer value
to businesses. Things offer value
to things.
Example: Security
cameras offer Example: Damaged
interesting anomaly things offer
images to news replacement part
outlets. work to 3D printers.Disrupting Between Now and 2021 and 2031
Businesses offer
B2T B2A value to As.
Example: Accounting
firm offers regulatory
arbitrage example
dataset to "BoardBots."
C2T C2A
Things offer value
to A?s.
Local delivery drones
A?s offer value to T2B T2C T2T T2A offer live lidar data to
consumers. "PoliceBot."
Example: AI
advisor acts as a A?s offer value to A?s.
personal The beginning of the
A2B A2C A2T A2A end of sales forces?
bereavement
counselor.Hype Cycle 43 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Organic Wine
Microbrewery
Cheese
Vin organique
Exostructure
Strategy
LOWA
Fromage
IA Education
Applications
IoT Business Microbrasserie
Solutions
47 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.En conclusion:
✓ Réajustez votre vision du monde.
✓ Maitrisez le hype cycle.
✓ Expérimentez et comprenez vos options.
✓ Examinez toujours les hype cycles de
Gartner avant de choisir vos vins et vos
fromages
48 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Vous pouvez aussi lire
